Bitcoin Nears $100K as Sovereign Wealth Fund Faces Major Losses
Bitcoin has seen a strong rally over the past five days, surging nearly 14% and reaching a high of $95,600. While the momentum has paused for now, the bullish trend suggests that BTC could soon retest the highly anticipated $100,000 level.
Meanwhile, Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund managing around $1.8 trillion, reported a massive $40 billion loss for the first quarter of 2025. Ironically, this fund had previously dismissed Bitcoin as "too risky" and opted instead for traditional tech stocks.
Sovereign Fund’s Risk Strategy Backfires
NBIM’s decision to avoid Bitcoin and favor “safe” U.S. tech stocks has come under scrutiny. Eli Nagar, CEO of Braiins Mining, highlighted the irony in the fund’s Q1 performance, noting that despite fears over Bitcoin’s volatility, their chosen investments failed to protect them.
According to CNBC, over 55% of NBIM’s investments are in U.S. markets, with major holdings in companies like Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon.
Hidden Bitcoin Exposure?
Interestingly, although the fund has avoided direct Bitcoin investments, it still has indirect exposure to the crypto market. NBIM holds stakes in companies like MicroStrategy, Coinbase, and Metaplanet — all of which are significantly tied to Bitcoin’s performance.
BTC Price Analysis: Is $100K Within Reach?
As of now, Bitcoin Price is trading around $94,709.13 after closing Friday on a strong note . Technical charts reveal that BTC has broken out of a previous value range between $81,000 and $88,400, entering a broader consolidation zone between $93,000 and $102,500.This move suggests bullish control, but there are signs that the momentum could be weakening.
Warning Signs: Bearish Divergence Appears
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in overbought territory and has started forming lower highs, even as Bitcoin's price makes higher highs. This pattern, known as bearish divergence, often signals a potential correction. A similar trend is visible on the Awesome Oscillator (AO).
Despite this, Bitcoin could still climb higher in the short term. If it manages another spike, it might move into a critical reversal zone between $97,100 and $98,100.
For cautious traders, this area could present an opportunity to short Bitcoin. However, there’s also a chance that a volatility-driven move could propel BTC directly to $100,000, so careful strategy and risk management are essential.
Bitcoin’s journey to $100,000 looks promising but comes with technical warning signs. Meanwhile, the Norges Bank’s significant loss serves as a stark reminder that even "safe" investments carry their own risks.
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